d'GREAT

Technical Analyzer

2009-03-11T15:18:00.002+08:00

Date: 2009/03/11
Time: 07:22 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR

Last: 1.2645
Pivot: 1.275
1st sup. 1.2575
2nd sup. 1.2525
3rd sup. 1.2455
1st res. 1.275
2nd res. 1.28
3rd res. 1.2875

Title: EUR/USD intraday: turning down.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.2750.
Our Preference: SHORT positions @ 1.274 with targets @ 1.2575 & 1.2525.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.275 will open the way to 1.28 & 1.2875.

Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and is challenging its MT bullish channel lower boundary, the RSI is on the downside.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Bearish

Key levels Comment

1.2875** Intraday resistance
1.28** Intraday resistance
1.275** Intraday pivot point
1.2645 Last
1.2575** Intraday support
1.2525** Intraday support
1.2455** Intraday support

Technical Analyzer

2009-03-09T15:31:00.002+08:00

Title: EUR/USD intraday: turning down 9 March 2009 ( Monday ).

Date: 2009/03/09
Time: 07:23 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.2633
Pivot: 1.2725
1st sup. 1.2557
2nd sup. 1.252
3rd sup. 1.2455
1st res. 1.2725
2nd res. 1.2775
3rd res. 1.281

Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.2725.
Our Preference: SHORT positions @ 1.2715 with targets @ 1.2557 & 1.2525.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.2725 will call for a rebound towards 1.2775 & 1.281.

Comment: the RSI is bearish and advocates for further decline, the pair is breaking below its bullish channel lower boundary.

Trend: ST Ltd Upside; MT Bearish

Key levels Comment

1.281** Intraday resistance
1.2775** Intraday resistance
1.2725** Intraday pivot point
1.2633 Last
1.2557** Intraday support
1.2525** Intraday support
1.2455** Intraday support

EUR/USD: Currency in Play for Next 24 Hours

2009-02-09T14:56:00.001+08:00

The currency in play for Monday of the upcoming week will be EUR/USD based on German Current Account and Trade Balance being released at 7:00GMT or 2:00AM EST. After a massive downtrend which has been in place since late last year, the pair seems oversold and entering the Range Trading Zone which we determine using Bollinger Bands. Since the beginning of the year, the pair formulated a downward slopping triangle, which proved to be effective numerous amount of times. The pair is on the verge of breaking the triangle upon moving past its first resistance which is at a psychological level of 1.3000. If the resistance of the upper line of the triangle is negated the next level of resistance will be 1.3180, which is a 78.6% retracement of December high and this year’s low. Nevertheless, the pair may establish another leg of downtrend if support is broken at 1.2705 which is a 2009 low for the pair.

Technical Analysis, Thursday 29 January 2009

2009-01-29T11:45:00.007+08:00

Date: 2009/01/28 Time: 21:36 (GMT +2) Ticker: EUR Last: 1.312 Pivot: 1.321
1st sup. 1.304 2nd sup. 1.2975 3rd sup. 1.29
1st res. 1.321 2nd res. 1.333 3rd res. 1.345
Title: EUR/USD intraday: turning down.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.321 Our preference: Short positions below 1.321 with targets @ 1.304 & 1.2975 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.321 look for further upside with 1.333 & 1.345 as targets. Comments: as long as 1.321 is resistance, likely decline to 1.304.

Technical Analysis, Monday 29 Dec 2008

2008-12-29T15:15:00.005+08:00

Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.4188
Pivot: 1.4075
1st sup. 1.4075
2nd sup. 1.395
3rd sup. 1.39
1st res. 1.43
2nd res. 1.4405
3rd res. 1.45

Title: EUR/USD intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
Story: Pivot: 1.4075.
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1.4075 with 1.43 & 1.4405 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.4075 will call for a slide towards 1.395 & 1.39.
Comment: the pair is supported by a rising trend line, the RSI is on the upside.
Trend: ST Ltd Downside; MT Range
Key levels Comment

1.45** Intraday resistance
1.4405** Intraday resistance
1.43** Intraday resistance
1.4188 Last
1.4075** Intraday pivot point
1.395** Intraday support
1.39** Intraday support

Technical Analysis, Wednesday 23 Dec 2008

2008-12-24T14:00:00.002+08:00

Time:	21:32 (GMT +2)
Ticker:	EUR
Last:	1.396
Pivot:	1.403
1^st sup.	1.391
2^nd sup.	1.3825
3^rd sup.	1.375
1^st res.	1.403
2^nd res.	1.4125
3^rd res.	1.42

Title:	EUR/USD intraday: consolidation.
Summary:	Update on supports and resistances.
Story:	Pivot: 1.403 Our preference: Short positions below 1.403 with targets @ 1.391 & 1.3825 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.403 look for further upside with 1.4125 & 1.42 as targets. Comments: the pair and its intraday RSI remain on the downside.

Technical Analysis, Tuesday 23 Dec 2008

2008-12-23T12:08:00.001+08:00

Date:	2008/12/22
Time:	21:37 (GMT +2)
Ticker:	EUR
Last:	1.395
Pivot:	1.4025
1^st sup.	1.3825
2^nd sup.	1.375
3^rd sup.	1.3635
1^st res.	1.4025
2^nd res.	1.4125
3^rd res.	1.42

Title:	EUR/USD intraday: consolidation.
Summary:	Update on supports and resistances.
Story:	Pivot: 1.4025 Our preference: Short positions below 1.4025 with targets @ 1.3825 & 1.375 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.4025 look for further upside with 1.4125 & 1.42 as targets. Comments: the RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

Last Price.

2008-12-20T11:16:00.004+08:00

Last price b4 market closed...it slowly going up for 50%..but anything will heppen at forex,so bcarefull...:))

Technical Analysis, Friday 19 Dec 2008

2008-12-19T17:13:00.003+08:00

Title:	EUR/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Summary:	Update on supports and resistances.
Story:	Pivot: 1.4400. Our Preference: SHORT positions @ 1.439 with 1.418 & 1.4045 in sight. Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.44 will call for a rebound towards 1.4515 & 1.47. Comment: the 120-min RSI validated a bearish divergence calling for a correction. Trend: ST Ltd Downside; MT Range Key levels Comment 1.47* Intraday resistance 1.4515* Fib retracement (61.8%) 1.44* Intraday pivot point 1.427 Last 1.418* Fib retracement (50%) 1.4045 Fib retracement (61.8%) 1.39 Fib retracement (38.2%)

Ticker:	EUR
Last:	1.427
Pivot:	1.44
1^st sup.	1.418
2^nd sup.	1.4045
3^rd sup.	1.39
1^st res.	1.44
2^nd res.	1.4515
3^rd res.	1.47

Technical Analysis, Wednesday 17 Dec 2008

2008-12-17T11:13:00.006+08:00

Ticker:	EUR
Last:	1.414
Pivot:	1.42
1^st sup.	1.374
2^nd sup.	1.363
3^rd sup.	1.3415
1^st res.	1.42
2^nd res.	1.43
3^rd res.	1.45

Title:	EUR/USD intraday: key ST resistance at 1.42.
Summary:	Update on supports and resistances.
Story:	Pivot: 1.42 Our preference: Short positions below 1.42 with targets @ 1.374 & 1.363 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.42 look for further upside with 1.43 & 1.45 as targets. Comments: the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.42.

Sick week...:((

2008-12-16T07:35:00.002+08:00

Sorry to all visitor/friends/bloger..seen 1 week i can't update n online due i had BAD FEVER and was out of hospital at this week...really sorry to all of u guy...
Hope after this i can catch up what i can...:))

Technical Major Currencies Report , Wednesday December 10, 2008

2008-12-10T15:22:00.002+08:00

Soory guy..really bz 3day ago....hope today info will help u all get some profit...
GOOD LUCK...:))

Euro

After reaching our target yesterday, the pair was able to enter a new upside wave to trade above the key resistance for the sideways triangle in an attempt to breach the sideways pattern. The pair is still trading near the key resistance bas has now declined below this level that has shifted today to 1.2955 yet above the 23.6% correction at 1.2930. We see the pair trying to gather bullish momentim to successfully breach the resistance level where it should first build a solid base above 1.2980 which is the 61.8% correction for the ascending channel that started on the 13-11-2008 and ended on 25-11-2008. If the pair was able to break the level, we expect to see it extend its gains to the 100% correction at 1.3240 gradually. However, at the moment, there is no sign of confirming this breach as we should remain cautions during trading because a reverse to levels below the 1.2930 level will stall further gains and perhaps continue the neutral trend.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.2735 and the key resistance at 1.3240

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact with targets at 1.2340 and 1.2225
Support 1.2905 1.2850 1.2820 1.2805 1.2735
Resistance 1.2955 1.2980 1.3005 1.3060 1.3125
Recommendation Buy the pair (carefully) above 1.2905 with targets at 1.3060 and stop loss with a four hour closing below 1.2820

GBP-USD Downtrend is still intact.It should continue to fall to 1.4715 or 1.4648 if resistance at 1.4781 area doesnt break . Direct rise above 1.4781 could turn the picture bullish for a corrective up move to 1.4833 or even 1.4884 limit .
USD-JPY It might hold above 92.03 or 91.68 for a rise towards above 92.82. Stop loss below 91.68 zone.
USD-CHF Current fall seems to be over near 1.2030 or 1.1980 for a rebound towards 1.2080 - 1.2116 area.

Weekend....

2008-12-06T12:27:00.002+08:00

Here we meet again weekend...hope this weekend im not board...:))
This week really bz,but im trading in relax condition w/o preasure...
all this bcoz i didn't keep any floating post anymore...
once reach my target, i will closed all...than go for bloging...:))
hope i can maintain it further....hope so...:))

To all "smile"...BIG THX to all...hope will always smile for me...
To all Muslim...wish u "HAPPY AIDILADHA"...
take care to all n hv a nice weekend...

Technical Major Currencies Report, Friday, December 05, 2008

2008-12-05T18:06:00.001+08:00

EURO

After the pair declined to the targets around 1.2550 id did after that indulge in a strong upside wave that took it back to trade mostly above 1.2750 to reach the 38.2% correction at 1.2830; the pair is trading now positively as the possibility for more upside moves is seen yet we witnessed high volatility and fluctuations this week and is still applicable for today for that the levels at 1.2725-50 is the marginal intraday barrier for as long as the pair is trading above the upside remains valid.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.3035 and the key support level at 1.2515.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2750 1.2725 1.2700 1.2685 1.2575
Resistance 1.2785 1.2830 1.2860 1.2885 1.2940
Recommendation Buy euro above 1.2725 with targets interlude at 1.2800 and 1.2830, stop loss below 1.2665

GBP-USD Market should hold major support at 1.4379 before rising towards 1.4840 or even 1.4999 limit.
USD-JPY Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 91.96 or 91.71. Major support is clustered around 91.16 limit.
USD-CHF There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.1856 while 1.2023 - 1.2072 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.2072 or 1.2120 is expected.

Technical Major Currencies Report, Thursday, December 04, 2008

2008-12-04T19:50:00.003+08:00

SOORY guy for late update..2day really bz n one hole nite didn't sleep bcoz hv soem critical post..huhuhu here the latest update today...Enjoy ur reading...:))

EURO

More downside pressures are seen for the pair even with the incline it managed in the early Asian session as today we can notice the strength of the 1.2750 resistance which was capable of creating a downside pattern and trading below this level will send the pair south towards 1.2620 at least and might reattempt 1.2575; meanwhile breaching 1.2750 will validate the short term upside trend again for the pair.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.2885 and the key support level at 1.2375.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2620 1.2575 1.2560 1.2515 1.2465
Resistance 1.2685 1.2725 1.2750 1.2785 1.2830
Recommendation Sell euro below 1.2685 with targets interlude at 1.2620 and 1.2575, stop loss above 1.2765

GBP-USD One more dip to 1.4655 is likely followed by a grind higher to above 1.4859. After which it can resume his downtrend.
USD-JPY It looks set for gains to above 93.77. Supports at 92.92 and 93.15. A break of 92.68 will damage this bullish structure.
USD-CHF Resistances lie around 1.2131 and 1.2222. It should test lower towards 1.204 zone. A clear break of 1.2059 would be bearish.

Technical Major Currencies Report,Wednesday December 3, 2008

2008-12-03T16:38:00.000+08:00

EURO

As expected the euro head to the upside in a correctional move, yet today we can see a downside pattern over intraday basis where the 61.8% represents the neckline for the model and for that the downside move is expected as far as trading is below 1.2675, from another side breaching 1.2730 with hourly closing above might help the euro move to the upside for a while.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.2820 and the key support level at 1.2360.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2675 1.2645 1.2635 1.2575 1.2540
Resistance 1.2725 1.2750 1.2790 1.2800 1.2820
Recommendation Sell euro below 1.2700 with targets at 1.2635 and 1.2575, stop loss above 1.2759

GBP-USD It may meet resistance in 1.4917 - 1.4921 zone for a drift down to below 1.4628 zone.
USD-JPY It may meet resistance in 93.18 - 93.21 zone for a drift down to below 92.03 zone.
USD-CHF It should test 1.2098 area after which a sell off down to 1.2007 or extended to 1.195 area is expected.

Tuesday December 2, 2008

2008-12-02T16:44:00.001+08:00

EURO

The downside wave is still undergoing for the euro against the dollar that prevailed from yesterday and as we can see the pair is trading above the 76.4% correction at 1.2575 and positive divergence on the RSI is seen which shows the upside move is approaching, meanwhile Stochastic is reflecting the need for further downside move to gather momentum; the pair's movement might be biased to the downside temporarily as we expect an upside move as far as 1.2575 remains intact while further support is seen at 1.2530.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.2840 and the key support level at 1.2370.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2575 1.2540 1.2530 1.2500 1.2450
Resistance 1.2635 1.2645 1.2685 1.2750 1.2790
Recommendation Buy euro cautiously above 1.2580 with targets at 1.2735, stop loss with hourly closing below 1.2500

GBP-USD Market should not go lower than 1.4636. After this move down it should go up to 1.4847 - 1.5034 area.
USD-JPY Market should meet resistance at 93.94. We expect then an extended move down to 92.51 -90.94 area.
USD-CHF While above 1.2039 - 1.2 zone a corrective upmove could test 1.2106 or 1.2134. After which it should resume its downtrend.

Monday December 1, 2008

2008-12-01T18:11:00.001+08:00

EURO

The euro versus the dollar declined in the awaited correctional wave to test the major support levels which have formed to acquire the pair with upside momentum as the upside signals are clear, if the support level at 1.2650 remains intact will be a positive signal for the upside move expected today while the short term upside wave is still intact and steady with continued trading above 1.2445 while closing on a daily basis below this level reinitiates the downside wave.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.2985 and the key support level at 1.2385.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2655 1.2610 1.2525 1.2490 1.2445
Resistance 1.2735 1.2785 1.2820 1.2850 1.2920
Recommendation Buy euro above 1.2655 with targets at 1.2735, stop loss with hourly closing below 1.2610

EUR-USD Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 1.2646 or 1.2578. Major support is clustered around 1.2498 limit.
GBP-USD It should be subject to more sell off towards 1.5296 or 1.5184. Corrective upward swings should face resistance around 1.5516 area. A break of 1.5522 is bullish.
USD-JPY Market looks set for gains towards 95.81 or above in extension. Dips should find support at 95.48 - 95.36 zone.
USD-CHF Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.2182 or 1.2339 if support around 1.2100 hold. After which a pullback to 1.2100 - 1.2050 zone is possible.

SORRY...

2008-11-30T13:43:00.001+08:00

Sorry to all vi$itor..latley im busy at outside...
how ever,i will back to give u $mile$ when u give me...:)
Big Thanks to all...:))

2008-11-27T20:21:00.001+08:00

EURO
The euro is settling below 23.6% correction level in today's trading after it declined yesterday which might be the start of a new descending technical pattern over intraday basis, continued trading below 1.2930 confirms the downside move and remains valid unless trading was seen clearly above 1.3080.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.3220 and the key support level at 1.2690.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2885 1.2830 1.2800 1.2740 1.2690
Resistance 1.2965 1.2985 1.3030 1.3080 1.3120
Recommendation Sell euro below 1.2930 with targets at 1.2830, stop loss with hourly closing above 1.3080

Great British Pound (GBP)
The pair has lost its upside momentum and now is trading below the 23.6% correction level shown above yet still above the 100 4-hour MA at 1.5235; the pair today will attempt to trade above the correction level and failing to breach it will send the pair in a downside wave as a technical pattern will form if a rebound was seen from below 1.5520 yet steady trading above this level opens the way towards 1.5675 the major resistance for the downside.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.5740 and the key support level at 1.5180.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.9400 remains intact; targets are set at 1.4435 and 1.4095.

Support 1.5395 1.5365 1.5275 1.5235 1.5180
Resistance 1.5475 1.5520 1.5595 1.5675 1.5740
Recommendation Sell Sterling cautiously below 1.5475 with targets at 1.5365, stop loss above 1.5520

Wednesday November 26, 2008

2008-11-26T15:22:00.001+08:00

EUR-USD Currently uptrend should end around 1.3218 - 1.3161 area. A correction down to below 1.2885 is expected. A rise above 1.3259 will abort the expected correction.
GBP-USD Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.5641 or 1.5879 if support around 1.533 hold. After which a pullback to 1.5330 - 1.5229 zone is possible.
USD-JPY There is bearish potential for a fall to 94.31 while 95.87 - 96.34 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 96.34 or 96.80 is expected.
USD-CHF Market should not go lower than 1.1736. After this move down it should go up to 1.1835 - 1.1910 area.

Tuesday November 25, 2008

2008-11-25T16:50:00.004+08:00

EURO
As expected the euro continued the upside move and as well managed to breach the resistance level at 1.2725-1.2740 to reach the 23.6% correctional level at 1.2930 once again and managed to rise slightly above it; nevertheless the pair is now trading below that level and signs of buying saturation are appearing over momentum indicators on four hour basis and for that we expect the pair to decline towards the 400 Hour (100 4-hour MA) at 1.2690 which is valid as far as trading continues dominantly below 1.2930 levels.

The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.3150 and the key support level at 1.2525.

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2830 1.2800 1.2740 1.2690 1.2675
Resistance 1.2885 1.2915 1.2930 1.2985 1.3060
Recommendation Sell euro below 1.2915 with targets interlude at 1.2840 and 1.2800, stop loss with hourly closing above 1.3000

EUR-USD Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.3153 or 1.3213 if support around 1.2825 hold. After which a pullback to 1.2825 - 1.2761 zone is possible.
GBP-USD Current rise seems to be over near 1.5185 or 1.5300 for a retracement towards 1.5070 - 1.5012 area.
USD-JPY N/A
USD-CHF Market should not go lower than 1.1820. After this move down it should go up to 1.1931 - 1.2029 area.

Tips : Save to SELL EU aroud 50% (1.2700)..good luck all...:))

Monday November 24, 2008

2008-11-24T18:18:00.002+08:00

EURO The euro is leading an intraday upside wave since consolidation was seen above 100 hours MA at 1.2570 and targets now the resistance level for the triangular model at 1.2725; despite that the short term is to the downside we expect the euro to mange to rise further today towards the set resistance level.

The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.2850 and the key support level at 1.2415.

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2595 1.2575 1.2550 1.2495 1.2450
Resistance 1.2650 1.2680 1.2705 1.2725 1.2770
Recommendation Buy euro above 1.2595 with targets at 1.2700, stop loss below 1.2500

EUR-USD Current rise seems to be over near 1.2608 or 1.2669 for a retracement towards 1.2546 - 1.2500 area.
GBP-USD While above 1.4787 - 1.4695 zone a corrective upmove could test 1.4965 or 1.5052. After which it should resume its downtrend.
USD-JPY Market looks set for gains towards 96.74 or above in extension. Dips should find support at 95.19 - 94.80 zone.
USD-CHF Preferred view is for a fall to below 1.2164 while 1.2219 - 1.223 area resists. A clear break of 1.2286 would be bullish.

GAP...

2008-11-23T13:24:00.004+08:00

To all EU trader..be carefull trade on this Monday...mayb have some GAP that morning...
Be smarts, try to minimize our loss...GOOD LUCK all!!:))
p/s : EU still strong DOWNTREND at TF4 above,b carefull for post BUY...:))

Smiles For Sunday..

2008-11-23T12:14:00.001+08:00

Ermm..I hv nice weekend this week...hv a SMILESS for every visitor..BIG THANK$$$...:))

Lucky Friday...

2008-11-22T21:31:00.002+08:00

Thank to Allah..Friday is my lucky day...all day have make BIG profit...
"Alhamdulillah..."...Hopefully i will continuess make profit..
There r some funder want to "topup" my acc...Luck 1 again..:))

Friday November 21, 2008

2008-11-21T13:37:00.001+08:00

EURO

Despite the volatile trading for the euro against the dollar yet it was restricted within the sideways triangular model, among the resistance level at 1.2625 and the support level at 1.2415, for that there is no defined intraday trend despite the short term downside trend which also prevails below 1.2745 levels. Today we expect the euro to continue to fluctuate over intraday basis which no clear direction while a clear move will be seen if either specified resistance or support levels were breached.
The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.2745 and the key support level at 1.2275.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2340 and 1.2225.

Support 1.2495 1.2450 1.2415 1.2385 1.2335
Resistance 1.2550 1.2575 1.2595 1.2625 1.2695
Recommendation Sell euro below 1.2575 with targets at 1.2350, stop loss with hourly closing above 1.2745

Great British Pound (GBP)
Sterling versus the dollar as expected entered a clear downside wave as it continues to trade below the major resistance level for the downside channel; now the pair is leading an upside move which is only correctional and will take the pair again to the downside as far as 1.4930 and 1.5055 remain intact.

The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.5215 and the key support level at 1.4690.

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.9400 remains intact; targets are set at 1.4435 and 1.4095.

Support 1.4810 1.4760 1.4725 1.4690 1.4625
Resistance 1.4915 1.4985 1.5050 1.5080 1.5150
Recommendation Sell sterling below 1.4915 with targets 1.4760, stop loss with four-hour closing above 1.5050

Thursday November 20, 2008

2008-11-20T09:35:00.000+08:00

EUR-USD While below 1.2486 - 1.2595 it might drop to 1.2377 or below 1.2265 zone.
GBP-USD Preferred view is for a fall to below 1.4818 while 1.4951 - 1.5034 area resists. A clear break of 1.5167 would be bullish.
USD-JPY There is bearish potential for a fall to 95.21 or 94.68 while 96.45 - 96.71 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 96.45 or 96.71 is expected.
USD-CHF Market looks set for gains towards 1.2209 or above in extension. Dips should find support at 1.2076 - 1.2041 zone.

Wednesday November 19, 2008

2008-11-19T13:47:00.000+08:00

EUR-USD It is likely to fall towards 1.2495 unless a corrective rally breaks the 1.2659 resistance. Stop above 1.2690 zone.
GBP-USD There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.5025 or even 1.5067. Supports at 1.4930 and 1.4876 zone.
USD-JPY Corrective dips should ideally halt near 96.82 or 96.52 for one more thrust upwards towards 97.22 - 97.61 area or 98.21 in extention. Fall below 96.22 puts it back on a downward path.
USD-CHF A correction down to 1.1984 folowed buy a mouve up to 1.204 or 1.2063. A break above 1.2095 would accelerate this bullish move.

Tuesday November 18, 2008

2008-11-18T11:45:00.000+08:00

EUR-USD Market should hold major support at 1.2499 before rising towards 1.2757 or even 1.2864 limit.
GBP-USD It should trade higher to 1.5162 while 1.4910 or 1.4823 offers support. Stop loss below 1.4736 zone.
USD-JPY It is likely to fall towards 95.72 as its corrective rally could falter in 96.99 - 96.63 area. Stop above 97.34 zone.
USD-CHF Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.2029 or 1.2079 if support around 1.1961 hold. After which a pullback to 1.1961 - 1

Monday November 17, 2008

2008-11-17T10:25:00.000+08:00

EUR-USD There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.2759 or even 1.2808. Supports at 1.2651 and 1.2592 zone.
GBP-USD One more dip to 1.4652 or 1.4503 is likely followed by a grind higher to above 1.4879 or 1.5105. After which it can resume its downtrend.
USD-JPY There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 97.59 or even 98.08. Supports at 96.60 and 96.10 zone.
USD-CHF A corrective/consolidation activity between 1.1860 and 1.1980 is likely for a while.

Friday November 14, 2008

2008-11-14T18:26:00.003+08:00

EURO

The euro inclined as it was being oversold yesterday failing to reach our downside targets but the chance is still open since yesterday's upside movements were nothing more than an attempt to retest the key support for the sideways channel that was breached earlier. The pair is trading now near the 100 day MA on the four hour chart at 1.2740 and we see that if trading continues below this level, it could reverse to the downside. The decline today is concerned with 1.2885 where trading below it will also result in a reverse sooner or later.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.2375 and the key resistance at 1.3000
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact with targets at 1.2340 and 1.2225
Support 1.2670 1.2565 1.2510 1.2485 1.2415
Resistance 1.2740 1.2770 1.2835 1.2885 1.2900

EUR-USD Current rise seems to be over near 1.2813 or 1.2955 for a retracement towards 1.2671 - 1.2579 area.
GBP-USD It should test higher than 1.5036. Entry point are at 1.4700 and 1.4603. A break of 1.4364 is bearish.
USD-JPY It should trade higher to 99.13 while 96.82 or 96.10 offers support. Stop loss below 95.38 zone.
USD-CHF While below 1.1850 or 1.1900 it could fall towards below 1.1799 or 1.1724. After which a corrective/consolidation activity is expected to 1.1938 zone.

2008-11-13T11:59:00.001+08:00

EURO

The key support for the sideways channel was breached and the pair was able to reach the 100% correction for the descending channel that started on 5-11-2008 and ended on 7-11-2008 where this level lies at 1.2485. Today we see the pair inclining in correction movements in another attempt to retest the support level that was breached yesterday which has now shifted to 1.2750. The minor resistance which is the 61.8% correction for the above mentioned downside channel at 1.2660 could be a critical point for the pair as it might provide it with bearish momentum.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.2325 and the key resistance at 1.2990

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact with targets at 1.2480 and 1.2340

Support 1.2580 1.2535 1.2495 1.2455 1.2410
Resistance 1.2660 1.2695 1.2750 1.2800 1.2880

Thursday November 13, 2008

2008-11-13T11:56:00.000+08:00

EUR-USD
It should register further gains to 1.2603 while 1.2438 caps downside attempts. Stop loss below 1.2370 zone.

GBP-USD
Market should not go lower than 1.4704. After this move down it should go up to 1.4931 - 1.5114 area.

USD-JPY
Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 93.79 or 93.63. Major support is clustered around 92.48 limit.

USD-CHF
Corrective dips should ideally halt near 1.1842 or 1.1815 for one more thrust upwards towards 1.1882 - 1.1921 area or 1.1976 in extention. Fall below 1.1787 puts it back on a downward path.

Technical Major Currencies Report

2008-11-12T15:28:00.004+08:00

EURO

The euro lead the first attempt to breakthrough the support levels and end the triangular sideways correction after it rebounded from the resistance levels at 1.29; today the 1.2705 is the major support level for the correctional model and the downside wave is approaching and for validation we need to see clear trading below the mentioned level for the pair to start the downside wave which targets 1.2545 at least.

The trading range is among the key resistance level at 1.3055 and the key support level at 1.2510.

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact; targets are set at 1.2480 and 1.2340.

Support 1.2705 1.2665 1.2655 1.2590 1.2545
Resistance 1.2760 1.2800 1.2880 1.2990 1.3055

Wednesday November 12, 2008

2008-11-12T14:35:00.001+08:00

EUR-USD
Market should meet resistance at 1.261. We expect then an extended move down to 1.2473 -1.2259 area.

GBP-USD
Market should meet resistance at 1.5483. We expect then an extended move down to 1.5341 -1.5086 area.

USD-JPY
One more dip to 97.21 is likely followed by a grind higher to above 97.98. After which it can resume his downtrend.

USD-CHF
Market looks set for gains towards 1.1928 or above in extension. Dips should find support at 1.1827 - 1.1801 zone.

Tuesday November 11, 2008

2008-11-11T13:00:00.001+08:00

EUR-USD
There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.2838 or even 1.2877. Supports at 1.2734 and 1.2669 zone.

GBP-USD
It is a triangle configuration. Market should break either side. Acceleration should occur above 1.5884 or under 1.5574 limits.

USD-JPY
It looks more likely that it would rise to above 98.74 or 99.11 from 97.8 or 97.24. After which a downside move to below 96.49 is expected.

Technical Major Currencies Report

2008-11-10T09:31:00.006+08:00

Euro

We still see the downside trend on the pair targeting newer bottoms where the sideways trend the pair is currently trading in is takin the shape of a contracting triangle preparing to decline further as far as trading remains below the 1.3075 level. We expect to witness slight upside movements today before reversing back to the downside. Trading below the 1.2620 level will end the correctional wave and initiate a new downside wave but it seems like the pair is currently attempting to complete the correction before declining once again.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.2510 and the key resistance at 1.3075

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.5080 remains intact with targets at 1.2480 and 1.2340

Support 1.2710 1.2690 1.2635 1.2595 1.2560
Resistance 1.2785 1.2840 1.2865 1.2975 1.3040
Recommendation Will be updated later

Great British Pound (GBP)

The pair was able to breach the key support for the sideways channel to continue the downside trend towards the neckline at 1.5800. We expect the pair to enter a steep wave after completing the sideways correction adn initiating the mentioned trend but we might witness high volatility today as the short term trend remains to the downside. The pair is targeting the 1.5420 level as an initial target as far as trading is below the 1.5800 level with hourly closings.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.5275 and key resistance at 1.5985

The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.99400 remains intact with targets at 1.5450 and 1.5175

Support 1.5640 1.5595 1.5545 1.5490 1.5420
Resistance 1.5690 1.5740 1.5810 1.5885 1.5930
Recommendation Will be updated later

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The pair continues to slide after the breaching the resistance level where the pair is currently fluctuating between fibonacci corrections starting with the 38.2% correction at 96.90. The high volatility around the resistance level complicates movements for the pair; where despite us expecteing to see slight upside movements on the short term, the pair will experience more volatility on the intraday charts due to the downside pressures from the MACD indiator and the stochastic indicator showing the pair being oversold.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 94.60 and the key resistance at 99.85

The general trend is to the downside as far as 104.60 remains intact with targets at 91.95 and 89.30

Support 97.15 96.90 96.75 96.30 95.60
Resistance 97.90 98.45 98.60 99.05 99.40
Recommendation Buy the pair above 97.20 with targets at 98.20 and stop loss below 96.59

Swiss Franc (CHF)

The pair continued to incline as we expected yesterday where today we see the upside direction linked to the 1.1825 level. The breach of this level will open the way for the pair to extend the gains taking us to about 1.1970. As the pair is being overbought on the stochastic indicator and showing negative potantial on the relative strength indicator yet the ADX is still showing the possibility for upside movements where from here we expect the overall trend to be to the upside which could be disrupted by a downside correction. The upside direction is confirmed as far as trading remains above the 1.1825 level.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.1500 and the key resistance at 1.2020

The general trend is to the upside as far as 1.0570 remains intact with targets at 1.1795 and 1.1850

Support 1.1715 1.1650 1.1630 1.1590 1.1565
Resistance 1.1805 1.1865 1.1935 1.1970 1.2020
Recommendation Sell the peir below 1.1790 with targets at 1.1715 and 1.1670 and stop loss above 1.1825. Then buy the pairabove 1.1670 with targets at 1.1800 and stop loss below 1.1614

Canadian Dollar (CAD)

The pair was able to breach the 1.1905 level yet is currently trading below the key resistace at 1.1990. Despite we see an upside direction, remain cautious of the 1.2025 level where if the pair fails to build a solid base above the mentioned level, the upside trend will not be seen.

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.1615 and the key resistance at 1.2240

The general trend is to the upside as far as 1.1780 remains intact with targets at 1.3305 and 1.3465

Support 1.1930 1.1895 1.1815 1.1795 1.1765
Resistance 1.1990 1.2025 1.2080 1.2100 1.2195
Recommendation Buy the pair above 1.1905 with targets at 1.2060 and stop loss below 1.1860

Monday November 10, 2008

2008-11-10T07:06:00.002+08:00

EUR-USD
It should test 1.2785 area after which a sell off down to 1.2660 or extended to 1.2558 area is expected.

GBP-USD
It should see a sell off to below 1.5512 while 1.5695 area curtails its upside. A break beyond 1.5854 will abort the downside.

USD-JPY
It looks set for gains to above 99.09. Supports at 97.55 and 97.92. A break of 97.17 will damage this bullish structure.

USD-CHF
Current upmove should continue up to 1.1817 or 1.1865. Any correction should find support in 1.1749 - 1.1725 zone.A break above 1.1829 could accelerate the move up.

*Note : Today open market GAP around 30pips..so,bcarefull trade today...:)

2008-11-08T18:26:00.001+08:00

Off day Sat ~ Sun..

2008-11-08T18:23:00.003+08:00

Every weekend so bord bcoz nothing to do...
just sleept n do some analysist...

Friday November 7, 2008

2008-11-07T10:45:00.000+08:00

EUR-USD
Market should not go lower than 1.2582. After this move down it should go up to 1.2697 - 1.2783 area.

GBP-USD
Market should meet resistance at 1.5745. We expect then an extended move down to 1.5576 -1.5269 area.

USD-JPY
Current fall is near an end of wave around 97 - 97.07 zone, a rally should then procede to above
98.22 or 98.45. Fall below 96.8 would cancel this scenario.

USD-CHF
Current rise seems to be over near 1.1788 or 1.1861 for a retracement towards 1.1715 - 1.1675 area.

Thursday November 6, 2008

2008-11-06T12:16:00.001+08:00

EUR-USD
Strength can extend to 1.3036 or even higher than 1.3116 as declines are expected to find support at 1.2875 or 1.2794. A fall below 1.2633 could turn it bearish.

GBP-USD
It is a triangle configuration. Market should break either side. Acceleration should occur above 1.6198 or under 1.5753 limits.

USD-JPY
Market should meet resistance at 98.58. We expect then an extended move down to 97.9 -96.01 area.

USD-CHF
Current fall seems to be over near 1.1566 or 1.1506 for a rebound towards 1.1626 - 1.1664 area.

Wednesday November 5, 2008

2008-11-05T10:59:00.001+08:00

EUR-USD
Difficult to predict next move. It should stay in a trading range between 1.2851 - 1.3372 .A break of 1.3179 is needed for a continuation of up trend .

GBP-USD
It may attempt a test higher to 1.6032 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 1.5672 limit.

USD-JPY
Strength can extend to 100.13 or even higher than 100.71 as declines are expected to find support at 99.05 or 98.54. Stop Loss below 97.38 zone.

USD-CHF
Current move should be supported in 1.1598 zone for a rise to above 1.1899. A break below 1.1433 opens the way down.

Tuesday November 4, 2008

2008-11-04T10:51:00.004+08:00

EUR-USD
There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.2526 or 1.2408 while 1.2771 - 1.283 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.2771 or 1.2830 is expected.

GBP-USD
There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.5602 or 1.5383 while 1.611 - 1.6219 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.6110 or 1.6219 is expected.

USD-JPY
A correction down to 98.34 folowed buy a mouve up to 99.39 or 99.78. A break above 100.43 would accelerate this bullish move.

USD-CHF
Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.1786 or 1.1931 if support around 1.1657 hold. After which a pullback to 1.1657 - 1.1611 zone is possible.

Forex Market Prediction and Analysis

2008-11-03T08:00:00.004+08:00

EUR-USD
Current fall is near an end of wave around 1.2584 - 1.2605 zone, a rally should then procede to above 1.281 or 1.2857. Fall below 1.2534 would cancel this scenario.

GBP-USD
Current fall seems to be over near 1.6042 or 1.5883 for a rebound towards 1.6200 - 1.6297 area.

USD-JPY
It should be subject to more sell off towards 96.84 or 95.21. Corrective upward swings should face resistance around 99.92 area. A break of 100.165 is bullish.

USD-CHF
Strength can extend to 1.1635 or even higher than 1.1728 as declines are expected to find support at 1.1471 or 1.1399. A fall below 1.1213 could turn it bearish.

BARU!!!Novemebr 2008..

2008-11-03T01:55:00.002+08:00

Rasa da terlalu lama x jenguk blog..
tah ler..na kata x sempat,da x keje..hehehe
insyallah..after this akan sentiasa update new post utk tatapan semua..
to all bloger yg selalu singgah..."TERIMA KASIH!!"
teruskan singgah2 selalu sambil2 klik adsense ek...ngeh...ngeh...ngeh..

"Selamat berpuasa dan selamat mnyambut Syawal"

2008-09-19T14:35:00.000+08:00

Salam utk semua...lama benor x update blog..terlalu sibuk dgn kerja2 harian..
so skrg nie mmg da x keje,bru le leh jengok2...hehehe

2008-06-23T15:28:00.001+08:00

FOREX MARKET PREDICTION

Jun 23, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+8(WIB))
GBP/USD No Signal, better not to trade for today

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.

EUR-USD Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.5659 or 1.5748 if support around 1.5589 hold. After which a pullback to 1.5589 - 1.5559 zone is possible.

GBP-USD Current rise should end around 1.9752 or 1.9804. Objectives of this downmove are 1.9714 or 1.9662. A rise above 1.9842 is again bullish.

USD-JPY Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 107.02 or 106.91. Major support is clustered around 106.59 limit.

USD-CHF Current fall seems to be over near 1.0325 or 1.028 for a rebound towards 1.0369 - 1.0400 area.

2008-06-20T12:41:00.002+08:00

FOREX MARKET PREDICTION

Jun 20, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+8(WIB))
GBP/USD No Signal, better not to trade for today

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.

EUR-USD > While above 1.5485 - 1.5451 zone a corrective dip could test 1.5519 or 1.5545 or 1.5571. After which it should resume his downtrend.

GBP-USD > Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.9787 or 1.9848 if support around 1.9682 hold. After which a pullback to 1.9682 - 1.9651 zone is possible.

USD-JPY > It may attempt a test higher to 108.04 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 107.60 limit.

USD-CHF > It should trade higher to 1.0513 while 1.0417 or 1.0388 offers support. Stop loss below 1.0358 zone.

2008-06-19T09:19:00.002+08:00

FOREX MARKET PREDICTION

Jun 19, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+8 (WIB))
15:00 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.

Thursday June 19, 2008
EUR-USD Market looks set for gains towards 1.556 or above in extension. Dips should find support at 1.5512 - 1.5499 zone.

GBP-USD Market should hold major support at 1.949 before rising towards 1.9647 or even 1.9695 limit.

USD-JPY Prefer a fall to 107.8 or 107.58. Then a correction to 108.16 is anticipated. A clear break of 107.29 is again bearish.

USD-CHF There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.0323 or 1.0283 while 1.0415 - 1.0435 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.0415 or 1.0435 is expected.

2008-06-18T12:18:00.002+08:00

FOREX MARKET PREDICTION

Jun 18, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+8(WIB))
15:00 GBP/USD down (Sell) -> Beware! Very Complicated and Difficult!

Wednesday June 18, 2008
EUR-USD One move lower to 1.5463 or 1.5416 is anticipated while below 1.5532 - 1.5555 area. Stop loss above 1.56 zone.
GBP-USD While below 1.9519 - 1.9579 it might drop to 1.9459 or below 1.935 zone.
USD-JPY It is likely to fall towards 107.18 unless a corrective rally breaks the 108.16 resistance. Stop above 108.35 zone.
USD-CHF Current fall is near an end of wave around 1.035 - 1.0414 zone, a rally should then procede to above 1.0438 or 1.0458. Fall below 1.0337 would cancel this scenario.

FOREX MARKET PREDICTION

2008-06-17T09:03:00.002+08:00

Jun 17, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+8 Time (WIB))
15:00 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.

EUR-USD A corrective/consolidation activity between 1.5376 and 1.5620 is likely for a while.

GBP-USD Current rise seems to be over near 1.966 or 1.9727 for a retracement towards 1.9593 - 1.9546 area.

USD-JPY While below 108.24 or 108.4 it could fall towards below 107.9 or 107.58. After which a corrective/consolidation activity is expected.

USD-CHF Market should pop up towards 1.0519 or 1.0589 this bullish scenario would be damaged if 1.0445 - 1.0444 zone is broken, a severe break down could then occur.

Sorry...

2008-06-15T01:05:00.003+08:00

sorry to all reader bcoz long time not update this blog..
actually really bz at the moment coz crash of my job and network (CELCOM).
thx for ur support from member's..

Sorry...

2008-06-15T01:05:00.000+08:00

2008-04-03T10:48:00.003+08:00

Apr 3, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
15:00 GBP/USD down (Sell)
20:30 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

Thursday April 3, 2008

EUR-USD : It should test 1.5823 area after which a sell off down to 1.5579 or extended to 1.5471 area is expected.

GBP-USD : It should trade higher to 1.9933 while 1.9840 or 1.9811 offers support. Stop loss below 1.9781 zone.

USD-JPY : One move lower to 101.64 or 100.91 is anticipated while below 102.60 - 102.96 area. Stop loss above 103.55 zone.

USD-CHF : A corrective rise should ideally test 1.0144 or even higher than 1.0203. Supports are at 1.0024. Stop loss below 1.0011 zone.

Disclaimer
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Any views expressed may change without notice.
This document is provided to you for information purposes only and may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose.

2008-03-31T17:38:00.002+08:00

Mar 31, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
20:00 GBP/USD down (Sell)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

EUR-USD : It may attempt a test higher to 1.5817 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 1.5744 limit.

GBP-USD : Market should pop up towards 2.0062 or 2.0180 this bullish scenario would be damaged if 1.9861 - 1.9860 zone is broken, a severe break down could then occur.

USD-JPY : There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 99.82 or even 100.05. Supports at 99.17 and 98.76 zone.

USD-CHF : It is a triangle configuration . Market should break either side.Acceleration should occur above 0.9997 or under 0.9914 limits.

Disclaimer
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Any views expressed may change without notice.
This document is provided to you for information purposes only and may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose.

2008-03-28T14:29:00.002+08:00

Mar 28, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
13:30 GBP/USD up (Buy)
19:00 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

EUR-USD - There are initial signs of a good corrective recovery towards 1.5813 or even 1.5841. Supports at 1.5753 and 1.5722 zone.

GBP-USD - 2.0062. It looks more likely that it would rise to above 2.0128 or 2.0162 from 2.0043 or 1.9993. After which a downside move to below 1.9924 is expected.

USD-JPY - Corrective dips should ideally halt near 99.45 or 99.1 for one more thrust upwards towards 99.90 - 100.34 area or 101.04 in extention. Fall below 98.75 puts it back on a downward path.

USD-CHF - It should test 0.9937 area after which a sell off down to 0.9886 or extended to 0.9835 area is expected.

Disclaimer
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Any views expressed may change without notice.
This document is provided to you for information purposes only and may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose.

2008-03-27T09:19:00.003+08:00

Mar 27, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
19:00 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

2008-03-26T09:58:00.001+08:00

Mar 26, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
19:00 GBP/USD down (Sell)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too. Click Here to open a LIVE trading account

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

2008-03-20T08:23:00.007+08:00

Mar 20, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
15:45 GBP/USD down (Sell)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

Nymex Natural Gas Falls as Heating Demand Eases, Crude Tumbles

By Reg Curren

March 19 (Bloomberg) -- Natural gas declined as heating-fuel use ebbed and some commodities, including crude oil, declined amid an outlook for the U.S. economy to slow.

Spring arrives tomorrow in the U.S., which will pare the need for gas to run furnaces. Oil tumbled after the Energy Department reported that U.S. fuel demand dropped last week.

``Gold is down, silver is down and so is crude, so it looks like we're starting to see a little bit of unwinding of the commodity hedges,'' said Phil Flynn, a senior trader at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago. ``Natural gas is getting caught up in the overall sell-off.''

Gas for April delivery fell 39 cents, or 4.1 percent, to settle at $9.024 per million British thermal units at 3:06 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gas has risen 20 percent so far this year. Futures rose to more than a two-year high on March 13, closing at $10.23 per million Btu.

Crude oil for April delivery slipped $4.94, or 4.5 percent, to settle at $104.48 a barrel in New York. Oil is nine percent higher so far this year. Futures prices rose to $111.80 a barrel on March 17, the highest since trading began in 1983.

``As we get a renewed confidence in some of these other asset classes, like equities, some of the froth comes out of energy prices,'' said John Kilduff, the vice president of risk management at MF Global Ltd. in New York.

Commodities rose as investors sought a hedge against the U.S. dollar's decline. Speculators used natural gas as a cheaper alternative in an energy commodities rally that included crude and heating oil.

The fundamental underpinnings of gas demand, such as supply, suggest a price of $8.50 to $9 per million Btu, said Michael Dane, an analyst at SunTrust Robinson Humphrey in Houston.

LNG Imports

Analysts are most concerned with a delay in U.S. liquefied natural gas imports. ``It was around this week last year that we saw a big up-tick'' in import levels, said Dane. That hasn't happened this year.

Growing demand and higher prices in Europe and Asia have rerouted LNG shipments from the U.S. LNG is natural gas that has been cooled to a liquid for shipment by tankers to markets too distant for pipelines.

LNG imports are averaging 800 million cubic feet a day, less than half the daily average of a year ago, Stacy Nieuwoudt, an analyst at Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. in Houston, said in a note yesterday.

Inventories

Inventories of natural gas probably fell 80 billion cubic feet last week, according to the median of 17 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg News. The five-year average change is a decline of 57 billion cubic feet, according to the Energy Department.

The department is scheduled to release its weekly inventory report tomorrow at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.

Inventories are probably going to end the winter heating season on March 31 at 1.275 trillion cubic feet, near the long- term average, Dane said.

Gas stockpiles were 1.398 trillion cubic feet in the week ended March 7, about 57 billion cubic feet higher than the five- year average of 1.341 trillion, the department said on March 13.

2008-03-19T09:20:00.002+08:00

Mar 19, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
01:00 GBP/USD up (Buy) - Beware of the bouncing movement
16:00 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

FOREX Info: EUR/USD will hit at 1.6000 ?

2008-03-17T14:23:00.002+08:00

Mar 17, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7 )
19:15 GBP/USD down (Sell)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !


Becareful for this high volatile market that happened in this
year. This is happened because of the crisis in USA that caused
by the Subprime Mortgage.

After EUR/USD hit 1.5 as we predict last year ago, now EUR/USD
probably will hit a new record high again 1.6000 if US still
cannot resolve their problem.

and at date Mar 18 (14:15pm New York Time) there will be some
announcement about US Interest Rate. This news will shake
the market if The Fed cut the USD interest rate more than 2.50%
You can keep an eye for this news, because this news is
very important.

We hope this information will help your trading.

2008-03-13T13:46:00.002+08:00

Mar 13, 2008
At Time : (time are in GMT+7)
19:00 GBP/USD up (Buy)

ALWAYS put a Stop Loss (SL) MAX 40 pips, and Target Profit (TP) starting from 10 to 70 pips, you can use a trailing stop too.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK !

China Boosts Coal Output to Alleviate Power Shortage (Update1)

By Winnie Zhu

March 13 (Bloomberg) -- China's coalminers increased output by 13 percent in the first two months of the year to ease an electricity shortage after the heaviest snowstorms in five decades hampered transportation of the fuel to power plants.

Coal production rose to 360 million metric tons during January and February, according to an e-mailed statement today from the Beijing-based China National Bureau of Statistics.

Chinese coalminers continued production during the Lunar New Year holiday week in February as requested by the central government, after the country was hit by the heaviest snowstorms since 1954. China, which relies on coal to generate 78 percent of its electricity, shut 7 percent of its coal-fired power plants after bad weather disrupted fuel deliveries.

Shenhua Group Corp., China's biggest coal producer, is ``doing all the company can do to keep power companies supplied with the fuel,'' Luo Guibao, the company's spokesman, said on Jan. 30. Unit China Shenhua Energy Co. boosted production by 27 percent to 14.8 million tons in February, it said March 11.

China Coal Energy Co., the nation's second-largest miner, increased output by 13 percent in the first two months to 15.83 million tons, the Beijing-based company said on March 7.

China's electricity output increased 11 percent to 516.9 billion kilowatt-hours in the two months, the statistics bureau said. Crude oil output rose 1.2 percent to 30.78 million tons.

The following is a table showing China's major energy products output in January and February from the statistics bureau. Fuel-product figures are in millions of metric tons and natural gas output is in billions of cubic meters:

------------------------------------------------------------
            Feb.          %        Jan.-Feb.        %
Change
------------------------------------------------------------
Gasoline     5.06         9         10.4          4.1
Kerosene     0.973       11.6        1.93        17.3
Diesel      10.4         14.5       21.4         12.5
Fuel oil     1.82         5.7        3.85        11.2
Natural Gas  6.56        24.1       53.5         20.3
-----------------------------------------------------------

Last Updated: March 13, 2008 01:42 EDT

Oil Rises to Record for Fifth Day in New York on Weak Dollar.

2008-03-12T05:28:00.003+08:00

By Mark Shenk

March 11 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to a record for a fifth day, climbing above $109 a barrel in New York, after the weak dollar prompted traders to invest in commodities.

The euro rose to $1.5495 against the dollar, the highest since the single currency's introduction in 1999, after European Central Bank council member Axel Weber said he doesn't see any leeway to lower borrowing costs. The dollar rebounded from the day's low after the Federal Reserve said it will lend up to $200 billion of Treasury securities in exchange for debt.

``This is all about the dollar,'' said Adam Sieminski, Deutsche Bank's chief energy economist in New York. ``To a lot of the world the rise in prices isn't that severe because of the falling dollar. Also OPEC has no incentive to rein in prices with the dollar dropping.''

Crude oil for April delivery rose 85 cents, or 0.8 percent, to settle at $108.75 a barrel at 2:46 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a record close. Futures surged to $109.72 a barrel today, the highest since trading began in 1983.

Brent crude for April settlement rose $1.09, or 1.1 percent, to close at a record $105.25 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. Futures reached a all-time high intraday price of $105.82 a barrel today.

``The decline of the dollar has a lot to do with the rise in prices,'' said Frank Verrastro, director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies energy program in Washington. ``People are looking at the oil market as a safe place to park their money in this time of economic uncertainty. The end users of oil are not major participants in this market.''

Bernanke's Efforts

Today's steps by the Federal Reserve are the latest in Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's effort to alleviate increasing strains in financial markets that are curtailing credit available to homeowners and companies.

``Oil prices have come off on the central bank action to add liquidity, which has strengthened the dollar,'' said Tom Bentz, a broker at BNP Paribas in New York. ``The trend is still up and it will take a lot more to break the back of this rally.''

The U.S. Dollar Index, a weighted gauge against the euro, yen, pound and three other currencies, fell to the lowest since the basket started trading in 1973 on March 7. The index touched 72.474 today, just short of the record low of 72.462.

``We started the year with the dollar index at 76 and the drop to 72 has been good for a $15 gain in oil,'' Sieminski said, ``When the index hits 70 the price of oil will hit $120.''

Ministers from the 13-nation Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries have said the drop in the dollar against currencies such as the euro and yen justifies higher oil prices.

In U.S. dollars, West Texas Intermediate, the New York- traded crude-oil benchmark, is up 81 percent from a year ago. Oil is up 55 percent in euros, 74 percent in British pounds and 58 percent in yen.

Demand Forecast

The International Energy Agency, an adviser to 27 developed nations, cut its forecast for 2008 global oil demand for a second month as record prices curbed consumption in some parts of the world. The agency reduced its forecast by 80,000 barrels a day to 87.54 million barrels a day, leaving annual demand growth at 2 percent, the IEA said today in a monthly report.

``It's a bubble and eventually it will burst,'' said Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research in Winchester, Massachusetts. ``The fundamentals aren't supportive of these prices. Today's IEA report sure looks bearish to me.''

OPEC left production targets unchanged on March 5 when officials met in Vienna, giving 12 of its 13 members a combined quota of 29.67 million barrels a day. The group pumped 32.1 million barrels a day in February, down by 120,000 barrels a day from revised January levels, according to the IEA.

White House Comment

White House spokeswoman, Dana Perino, said the administration of President George W. Bush is ``very concerned'' about high crude oil prices. ``We know it's impacting America's consumers and small businesses especially,'' she told reporters traveling with the president to Nashville aboard Air Force One.

``It would be wrong of the president to provide false hope to people who think that we are going to be able to have an immediate impact to reduce gas prices,'' Perino said. ``This is something that we're all going to have to work through.''

Gasoline for April delivery rose 1.12 cents, or 0.4 percent, to a record close of $2.7261 a gallon in New York. Futures touched $2.7435 earlier today, an intraday record for gasoline to be blended with ethanol, known as RBOB, which began trading in October 2005.

Pump prices are following futures higher. Regular gasoline, averaged nationwide, rose 0.5 cent to $3.227 a gallon yesterday, AAA, the nation's largest motorist organization, said. That matches the record reached on May 24.

Last Updated: March 11, 2008 15:35 EDT

Hujan Mula Turun..

2008-03-11T14:18:00.002+08:00

mgundi da abis...pe lg...jom main forex balik...kekeke
lom ada apa2 lg na update...just bual '0' jek dulu...
Ku sangka panas spi ke petang...rupa2nya hujan d tengah hari...
cm nie asam garam main forex...

No major majoriti 2/3..

2008-03-10T08:09:00.001+08:00

x der pe yg menarik...just cukup sekadar parlimen ada suara2 yg mewakili rakyat...
kita sama2 tunggu dan lihat pe langkah2 seterusnya...

ESOK MENGUNDI!!!

2008-03-07T13:14:00.007+08:00

JANGAN LUPA TUNAIKAN TANGGUNGJAWAB ANDA..
ANDA MENENTUKAN MASA DEPAN AGAMA, NEGARA DAN BANGSA..

sila klik gambar2 di atas untuk selanjutnya..

Untuk Semua..

2008-03-06T15:48:00.007+08:00

Khutbah Rusila : Kemusnahan hidup berlaku kerana berpaling daripada ajaran Islam
Oleh : Tuan Guru Abdul Hadi Awang
Thursday, 06 March 2008

Wahai hamba-hamba Allah, saya berpesan kepada kamu dan kepada diri saya sendiri supaya bertaqwa kepada Allah dengan mengikut sekali perintahnya dan meninggalkan segala larangannya, maka sesungguhnya berjayalah orang-orang yang bertaqwa. Carilah bekalan, sebaik-baik bekalan itu ialah bertaqwa kepada Allah.

Saudara-saudara sidang Jumaat

Untuk membuktikan ketaqwaan kita terhadap Allah S.W.T , marilah kita menerima hakikat kedatangan Rasulullah s.a.w kerana baginda adalah satu-satunya nabi akhir zaman. Penutup rasul2rasul kurniaan Allah S.W.T . Firman Allah S.W.T yang bermaksud : Kalau kamu kehendaki nescaya kami bangkitkan pada setiap kampung ini seorang rasul yang memberi pengajaran : (Al-Furqan: 51)

Namun begitu bagi manusia akhir zaman cukup dengan seorang rasul iaitulah nabi aMuhammad s.a.w . Namanya telah diisytiharkan oleh nabi-nabi di zaman dahulu. Kedatangannya membawa kitab Al-Quran Al-Karim. Cahaya yang menerangi seluruh alam laksana terbitnya matahari maka lampu-lampu tidak berguna lagi. Maka begitulah kitab-kitab yang dahulu di mansuhkan dan semua ajaran hendaklah ditinggalkan.

Walaupun demikian terdapat dikalangan manusia yang menolak petunujuk Allah S.W.T termasuk dikalangan penduduk Mekah, pimpinan-pimpinan dan orang-orang tua mereka yang melihat peristiwa kelahiran nabi Muhammad s.a.w, melihat akhlaknya yang mulia, kebijaksanaan akalnya yang luar biasa. Tetapi mereka tetap juga menolak ajaran nabi Muhammad s.a.w. Firman Allah : “Dan mereka berkata: Jika kami mengikuti petunjuk bersama kamu, niscaya kami akan diusir dari negeri kami. Dan apakah Kami tidak meneguhkan kedudukan mereka dalam daerah haram (tanah suci) yang aman, yang didatangkan ke tempat itu buah-buahan dari segala macam (tumbuh- tumbuhan) untuk menjadi rezki (bagimu) dari sisi Kami?. Tetapi kebanyakan mereka tidak mengetahui. (Al-Qasas : 57)

Sidang Jumaat yang dirahmati Allah:

Begitulah kejahilan dan kejahatan yang ditunjukkan oleh pemimpin Mekah. Mereka menunjukkan engkar mereka terhadap Al-Quran yang dibawa oleh nabi s.a.w dengan menuduh sekiranya petunjuk Al-Quran diikut huru haralah negara Mekah, akan susahlah kehidupan, akan berlakulah bencana dan berbagai kesusahan.

Mereka tidak menyedari bahawa Allah S.W.T meletakkan mereka dibumi Mekah yang kering kontang, tiada kebun dan buminya tidak subur tetapi manusia membawa semuanya itu dari seluruh pelosok dunia sejak dibuka di zaman Nabi Ibrahim a.s sehingga hari ini. Itu membuktikan bahawa rezeki dan keberkatan adalah kurniaan daripada Allah S.W.T.

Adapun mereka yang degil dan keras kepada itu menolak Nabi Muhammad s.a.w daripada menegakkan ajaran yang dating daripada Allah S.W.T sehingga memaksa Rasulullah s.a.w berhijrah ke Madinah.

Penduduk-penduduk Madinah dikalangan Aus dan Khazraj telah beriman kepada Allah S.W.T, Allah S.W.T melahirkan kepada mereka seorang rasul dan menjadikan umat yang paling besar dan berjaya memimpin dunia.

Umat yang pertama menjadi contoh dan teladan kepada seluruh manusia sehingga menundukkan kuasa-kuasa besar dizamannya dan kegemilangan Islam berterusan selepas itu beberapa abad.

Marilah kita menyedari hakikat yang di alami oleh umat Islam di hari ini. Umat Islam tidak lagi dianggap umat yang terbaik bahkan disenaraikan sebagai umat dunia ketiga. Umat yang papa dan hanyut dikalangan umat-umat yang lain. Apakah puncanya dan sebabnya.

Marilah kita membuat perhitungan dan menilai diri dengan seadil-adilnya. Tidak lain dan tidak bukan perkara itu berlaku apabila umat islam meninggalkan petunjuk yang dibawa oleh nabi Muhammad s.a.w. Ketahuilah bahawa bangsa-bangsa yang dianggap maju pada hari ini hanya dianggap maju dari segi kebendaan semata-mata.

Namun mereka telah kehilangan punca diluar daripda batas-batas kemanusiaan. Kerosakkan dan kemusnahan telah dianggap suatu perkara yang baik dan sebilangan perkara yang baik dikira buruk. Amanah dikhianati manakala pengkhianat telah dianggap sebagai pemegang amanah yang sebenar. Begitulah kecelaruan hidup dalam dunia pada hari ini.

Malangnya terdapat dikalangan umat Islam sendiri yang mengaku bahawa mereka adalah orang Islam dan penganut agama Islam, tetapi mereka bersikap seperti pemimpin-pemimpin mekah dizaman Rasulullah yang menolak petunjuk Al-Quran Al-Karim. Mereka berkata “kembali kepada Islam laksana kembali ke zaman mundur dan kembali kepada Al-Quran laksana sengaja menempah kemunduran dan kemusnahan, akan melesetlah segala ekonomi dan kehidupansekiranya mengikut halal dan haram sebgaimana yang diperintaholeh Allah S.W.T.

Maka mereka menjadi umat islam yang bercelaru dimana mereka beramal dengan muamalat Islam namun dalam masa yang sama mereka tidak berani mengharamkan riba dan mengharamkan rasuah bahkan mereka menganggap mengharamkan riba, arak dan menghapuskan premis-premis pelacuran dan maksiat akan menjejaskan pendapatan ekonomi kerana mengahalang kedatangan pelancong yang memberi sumber pendapatan kepada rakyat.

Lalu mereka beramal dengan ajaran islam yang direka oleh mereka sendiri, maka banyak hukum-hukum daripada Allah dan Rasululullah dipermain-mainkan.

Marilah kita menyedari bahawa Allah S.W.T memerintah orang-orang yang beriman supaya beramal dengan seluruh ajaran Islam. Beramal dengan sebahagian dan menolak dengan sebahagian yang lain adalah langkah-langkah syaitan. Firman Allah : “Wahai orang-orang Islam masuklah kamu ke dalam islam seluruhnya, dan janganlah kamu mengikut jejak langkah syaitan, sesungguhnya syaitan itu bagi kamu adalah musuh yang nyata. (Al-Baqarah : 208)

Marilah kita menyedari merebaknya penyakit masyarakat laksan barah yang tidak boleh diubati dengan undang-undang dan peraturan yang paling keras seperti membunuh pengedar dadah, menyebat mereka yang merogol dan sebagainya, namun jenayah dan maksiat semakin merebak. Sebabnya tidak lain dan tidak bukan kerana kita meninggalkan ubat yang diberikan oleh Allah S.W.T . Firman Allah S.W.T: “dan kami turunkan Al-Quran itu menjadi penyembuh kepada penyakit dan rahmat kepada orang-orang yang beriman, dan tidak menambahkan kepada mereka yang zalim melainkan kerugian semata-mata. (Al-Israa’).

Mengapakah dalam suasana begitu hebat Al-Quran dibaca, dibuka sekolah-sekolah tahfiz, tetapi penyakit-penyakit masyarakat terus merebak. Sebabnya mereka hanya menulis ayat –ayat tetapi tidak beramal dengan isi kandungannya. Laksana mereka mengambil ubat yang baik tetapi tidak dimakan.

Itulah hakikat umat Islam pada hari ini. Marilah kita menjadi umat yang sedar dan tidak berputus asa, untuk terus bangkit bersama-sama dengan Islam bagi menegakkan Islam di dalam diri kita dan tanahair yang tercinta ini. Dengarlah janji Allah S.W.T : “Dan Allah telah berjanji kepada orang-orang yang beriman di antara kamu dan mengerjakan amal-amal yang saleh bahwa Dia sungguh-sungguh akan menjadikan mereka berkuasa dimuka bumi, sebagaimana Dia telah menjadikan orang-orang sebelum mereka berkuasa, dan sungguh Dia akan meneguhkan bagi mereka agama yang telah diridhai-Nya untuk mereka, dan Dia benar-benar akan menukar (keadaan) mereka, sesudah mereka dalam ketakutan menjadi aman sentausa. Mereka tetap menyembahku-Ku dengan tiada mempersekutukan sesuatu apapun dengan Aku. Dan barangsiapa yang (tetap) kafir sesudah (janji) itu, maka mereka itulah orang-orang yang fasik.” (An-nur: 55
Kemaskini terakhir ( Thursday, 06 March 2008 )

PRU 12!

2008-03-05T18:12:00.005+08:00

Marketiva - Banners

2008-03-04T09:13:00.000+08:00

Marketiva - Banners

2008...

2008-03-04T01:45:00.000+08:00

ermmm..
lama banget x update blog...rasa da setahun kot...kekekeke
x der idea na wat..just sapa2 yg singgah leh klik jek mana2 suka...:)

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2007-07-08T22:42:00.000+08:00

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Euro - Industrial Orders Plunge, Will IFO Follow?

2007-06-26T14:01:00.000+08:00

Analysis by DailyFX

- Australian Dollar: CPI colder just like PPI
- Japanese Yen: March CSPI at 0.6% y/y matching 9 year highs
- Euro: Industrial Orders tumble
- US Dollar: Existing Home Sales and Consumer Confidence is next

Euro - Industrial Orders Plunge - Will IFO Follow?
Euro-zone New Industrial Orders plunged -0.7% versus expectations of an increase of 1.0%. Although the currency showed no negative reaction to the release, the results must be a concern for euro bulls, as they clearly show the drag of rising currency exchange rates on Euro-zone manufacturing and suggest that ECB may have difficulty hiking rates past the expected 4% level in June.
Last week we noted that the first signs of a possible slowdown in EZ production appeared in the Italian manufacturing data. Today’s decline in the region’s overall industrial demand confirms that negative trend. The soft numbers from the industrial new orders report therefore put into question the market’s rather optimistic assessment of the IFO survey due tomorrow at 8:00 GMT. Analysts predict a reading of 107.9 - higher than the prior months 107.7 - and within decade long highs of 108.7 set in December of 2006.
Granted Germany is by far the most efficient and productive economy among the Big Three in Europe, but the country’s manufactures are nevertheless subject to negative effects of currency valuation just like everyone else. Given euro’s relentless rise against the greenback, Germany’s export dependent manufacturing sector may be feeling the competitive pressures of higher exchange rates. This pain may be most evident in Germany’s important new trade with China as the EURCNY rate has uninterruptedly climbed from 10.0000 at the start of the year to 10.5000 presently. In short, the market may be mispricing the risk of a downward surprise in the IFO given the rather material slowdown in the growth of the Euro-zone Industrial sector.
The yen meanwhile continued to tread water as it remained range bound between 118.25-118.75. News that March CSPI index remained near 9 year highs at 0.6% suggesting that pricing power may be finally returning to the country’s service sector, had only a fleeting impact on trade.
Although the currency could see further positive event risk as the week progresses its questionable if it will be able to sustain a rally. Up to now, any sell offs in USDJPY remain shallow as carry traders continue to buy the pair on any pullback. With the DJIA still hovering near all time highs, the pair is unlikely to see much weakness given the placid attitude of most investors. However, should stocks sell off while Japanese consumption and employment data print positive, USDJPY could break the 118.00 support level later in the week. For now however, the impact of any positive economic news is minimal at best.

Daily Technical view June 25th

2007-06-25T20:28:00.000+08:00

Analysis by Bogdan Parascanu of FX Instructor

EUR/USD Technical View

Euro continued the uptrend started on June 13^th and after a combination of quiet and more volatile days it is trading now above the 1.3460 resistance established on May 10th/11^th. The start of the week found the pair trading just under the 1.3410/60 resistance week and it took a couple of days in order for the Euro to gather enough strength to break above it. From Monday to Thursday the pair basically traded inside a new range formed between the 1.3365 support and bellow the 1.3410 resistance. After Friday's move above the 1.3460 level the pair's momentum has increased a bit and if we get to trade above 1.3500 in the first few days of the week it will bring more bulls to the table. First bull target is the 1.3500 level before the June 5^th high at 1.3550, once up there sights will be set on the 1.3610/30 resistance area as an intermediary target before the YTD high at 1.3680. Conversely the pair might not manage to hold above the 1.3460 level and if that happens bears will start again to put pressure and push it lower, now we have a new small range to be aware of between 1.3365 and 1.3410, a range that could be a base for future north-swings but at the moment is just an obstacle in the bears path. If Euro starts giving back some of what has gained in the last couple of weeks it will open up February 27^th High at 1.3260 as the first main short target and if price continues to go lower next support is the 1.3160 .50 Fib of the February-March range.

Resistance Levels

1.3680 – April 27th High
1.3630 – May 7th High
1.3550 – June 5th High
1.3459 – May 10th/11th Low

Support Levels

1.3365 – December 3rd High
1.3300 – January 7th High
1.3260 – February 27th High
1.3160 - .50 Fib of Feb-March range

GbpUsd Technical View

Cable put in a strong week breaking clearly out of the previous week's range. With a single exception, Thursday when the pairs momentum took a breathing break, every day of the week was a healthy push north. The pair stopped on Friday just bellow the 2.00 level we have mentioned so many times until now, the current upside momentum is still intact but the fact that we didn't manage to break above the 2.00 psychological level could start to worry a few longs not to mention that will probably give shorts a new opportunity to build some positions. With a new monthly high cable looks bullish enough in order for us to check future resistance levels, first and closest one is without any doubt the almighty 2.00, if Gbp has enough strength to break through it will get the pair very close to the next resistance line at 2.0060 which is the only obstacle before the YTD high at 2.0133 established on April 18^th. Even though cable has gained a lot and is on a prolonged uptrend one has to be aware of the possibility of a slowdown or even a reversal, the pair might not be able to cross decisively the 2.00 level and that will more than likely bring to a halt the upside momentum and get us into a consolidation or even a full trend reversal. Support levels that stand out are former resistance that once broken have turned into support, closest one is 1.9965 June 5^th high followed by the 1.9900 round number, lower down we have the 1.9840/70 range and even lower is the starting point of this last leg-up at 1.9670.

Resistance Levels

2.0200 – Round number
2.0133 – April 18th High
2.0060/70 – April 25th High

Support Levels

1.9840/70 – May 4th / December 1st 2006 High
1.9750/60 – retested level, May 11th low
1.9700 – May 18th Low
1.9670 – February 21st Low
1.9550 - .50 Fib

Existing Home Sales And The $

2007-06-25T05:16:00.000+08:00

by :

NewstraderFX

FFAN Analyst

Spring is the buying season for homes and May is usually one of the most active months. Because the data on new building permits and housing starts has been weak, it's likely to see weakness in existing home sales as well. There is an overhang of inventory so it's likely to see lower prices too.

If you haven't kept up to date with the Bear Sterns/CDO market situation-you should. Becasue of the recent problems there, a weaker number could really set equity markets on their ear and cause some serious unwinding of carry trades. A surprise to the high side should could cause things to calm down a bit. Look for an especially strong market reaction because of this.

MC...

2007-06-21T23:11:00.000+08:00

Sorry to all friends & viewer for not online 2~3 day....had a bad fever....

Belgian National Bank sees ECB rates rising in line with market views

2007-06-14T23:45:00.000+08:00

by : Thomson Financial
Forex News

(Updates with oil price, euro level assumptions)

BRUSSELS (Thomson Financial) - The Belgian National Bank sees the European Central Bank raising interest rates in line with the expectations of the market.In its latest set of economic forecasts, the central bank said: 'Interest rates are ... projected to rise in line with market expectations.'Bank governor Guy Quaden told reporters: 'Monetary policy is not restrictive nor negative for sustained activity and investment.'He said that the ECB's rate-setting 'governing council has not said that the tightening cycle has ended, nor that a new hike is necessary'. Quaden added: 'Two years ago rates were exceptionally low. Now at 4 pct in nominal terms and 2 in real terms our monetary policy is not restrictive.'After the ECB raised its main refinancing rate to 4.00 pct from 3.75 pct last Wednesday, president Jean-Claude Trichet signalled that the bank has not yet ended its tightening cycle.Otherwise, the Belgian central bank said oil prices 'are forecast to rise slightly again during the course of 2007 before levelling out at an average of 69.9 usd a barrel in 2008'.Exchange rates are see remaining 'constant at their mid-May 2007 level, namely 1.36 usd to the euro'.

US Treasury stops short of blaming China for currency manipulation UPDATE

2007-06-14T00:51:00.000+08:00

by : Thomson Financial
Forex News

(Updates to add details throughout)

WASHINGTON (Thomson Financial) - China is not intentionally manipulating its currency to gain an unfair trade advantage, but its massive buildup of foreign reserves raises risks for the global economy, the US Treasury's semi-annual report said today.In the much anticipated report, the Treasury stopped short of labelling Beijing a currency manipulator, which could trigger sanctions under US law.It did call for the Asian nation to speed up its currency appreciation to avoid what it called real 'risks' for the global economy. The yuan has appreciated by a bit more than 8 pct since July 2005, a pace that the US has said is not fast enough.'Allowing the currency to adjust is a matter of international interest and responsibility, with critical implications for the smooth functioning of the world's largest trading system and the adjustment of global imbalances,' the report said.'China should not hesitate any longer to take far more vigorous action to rebalance its economy, promote immediate (yuan) movement to tackle the currency's undervaluation, and achieve far greater flexibility in the exchange rate regime.'The Treasury report was released on the same day key senators are expected to introduce legislation aimed at forcing the US to put more pressure on China, possibly by bringing a World Trade Organization dispute settlement case against China's currency regime.Many members of Congress are upset that the administration has failed to cite China as a manipulator, even while it agrees that the yuan is undervalued.The Treasury report said it could not determine whether China was keeping the yuan undervalued in order to gain a trade advantage. The department has said this finding must be made before it formally cites any country as a currency manipulator, a move that would be followed by formal consultations.The report said US officials are already pressing China on currency reform in a wide range of bilateral talks.'China's tightly managed exchange rate regime is a substantial obstacle to the resolution of economic imbalances that foster China's high savings, high investment, and large trade surpluses,' the report said. Treasury said China's net exports reached a record 7.3 pct of China's GDP in 2006, and said China's current account surplus reached a record 250 bln usd that year.The Treasury has been working with China to promote domestic growth over the last year, but the report said China's 'grew more unbalanced in 2006', and said this trend can be seen in the levels of China's intervention in currency markets. The People's Bank of China's intervention level increased by 247.5 bln usd in 2006 over 2005 to reach 1.066 trillion usd that year.The Treasury said all of these factors 'increase the risk of a renewed boom-bust cycle, which would be quite harmful' for the world economy.The Treasury also reiterated that US officials do not believe the Japanese yen is being manipulated, despite continued pressure from US automakers to make this finding.'Japan maintains a floating exchange rate regime,' the June 13 report said. 'Japanese authorities have not intervened in the foreign exchange market since March 2004.'

US expected to stop short of labelling China currency manipulator

2007-06-13T02:27:00.000+08:00

by : Thomson Financial
Forex News

WASHINGTON (Thomson Financial) - Despite growing trade tensions between the US and China, the Bush administration is not expected to label China as a currency manipulator in its semi-annual report on foreign exchange regimes due out tomorrow. Instead, most industry observers expect the Treasury to maintain its previous position that it cannot meet the technical hurdles needed to point the finger at China.Even a vocal lobby group does not expect any change in the general tone. 'I have no expectation of anything different from the past,' said Skip Hartquist, counsel to the China Currency Coalition.In past reports, Treasury said the balance of proof is high before it can make outright accusations. The Treasury has said repeatedly that it cannot prove intent.US auto makers have been lobbying the Treasury to label Japan as a country that manipulates the value of its currency in order to benefit its exporters. The yen, however, is a freely traded currency.The release of Treasury's report will prompt four key senators to introduce legislation in the afternoon of June 13 aimed at addressing congressional complaints about undervalued currencies of China and Japan. The contents of this bill are still secret, but most industry observers believe it will put more pressure on the administration to bring a World Trade Organization case against China over currency.'The Senators will discuss the new U.S. responses their bill requires when other nations, including China, unfairly undervalue their currency,' according to a June 11 Senate Finance Committee statement. 'Fundamentally misaligned currencies distort global markets and put U.S. manufacturers and farmers at a competitive disadvantage.'The bill may also aim to change US law to require the US to accept anti-subsidy cases against non-market economies like China. In an apparent bid to head off this legislation, the Commerce Department earlier this year accepted an anti-subsidy case against China involving imports of glossy paper, which represented a change in Commerce policy dating from the early 1980s.Commerce department's preliminary finding in that case calls for anti-subsidy duties of up to 10 percent on these imports.Another anti-subsidy case against imports of steel pipe from China was filed last week, and observers have said many more are in the pipeline.Leaders of the Senate Finance Committee have been working on the Senate bill since earlier this year, along with Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC). Schumer and Graham last year threatened to move a bill imposing a 27.5 pct tariff on imports from China as a way of retaliating over currency, but agreed to drop that bill in order to work with Senate Finance on a bill that is consistent with WTO rules.

US Treasury will release currency report on Wednesday

2007-06-12T00:34:00.000+08:00

by : Forex News

WASHINGTON (Thomson Financial) - The US Treasury will release its semiannual foreign exchange report on Wednesday morning at 10am.The Semiannual Report on International Economic and Exchange Rate Policies is where Treasury either does or does not accuse foreign governments of manipulating their currency exchange rates. It has been controversial in the past for not designating China as a currency manipulator. Treasury is expected, as in the past, not to make such a designation. Both the Bush and Clinton administrations have used the threat of sanctions required by a designation to put pressure on the Chinese government to allow more flexibility in the yuan's rate against the dollar.

US Trade Balance and the $

2007-06-08T09:38:00.001+08:00

by :
FFAN Analyst

Wall St. is definately in a bit of a tizzy over the likely course of Fed interest rates. A cut's been taken off the table and like a child with many toys who loses one, they're throwing a tantrum.As i've discussed many times, losses in equities relate to losses in carry trades. Have a look at the daily charts and you'll see the pound has plunged while USD/JPY has come way off the highs. That's a sure sign that carry trades unwound in the 200 point DOW sell-off today.On to the trade balance-and i'm going to suggest you look at it in a different way. Don't look so much at the overall gain or loss in the deficit, look at it in terms of overall activity. In other words, watch whether imports and exports both rose.If they did that will indicate an increasing pace of overall economic activity-a growth indicator. With Wall Street so upset now an indication that growth is picking up will absolutely send them to the nearest ledge, because it will only indicate even less chance of a Fed rate cut to them. How likely is it that overall activeity picked up? Very likely because a lot of activity was lost due to Chinese holidays in March.It's more then just the drop in the indexes that indicate unease-the "fear" index has risen as well. If you don't know, the fear index aka the VIX is actually something that can be traded on the CBOE. You can actually bet on how wet trader's undergarments are likely to get!The VIX index closed at 17.06 Thursday, compared to last week when the index traded well below 14.0. In 2007, the VIX has seen a low of 9.70, seen Feb 14 (before the Feb 27 one-day China stock tumble) and a high of 21.25, seen in early March.

Euro Vunerable-For Now

2007-06-07T04:46:00.000+08:00

Edited by : NewstraderFX

The key thing for anticipating future ECB moves is that the term "strong vigilance" was removed from the ECB statement. This will likely remove market expectations for a rate hike in July. However, the use of the phrase "still on the accomodative side" indicates another rate hike is in the works for the September meeting, since there's no meeting scheduled for August. What could also drive the EUR/USD lower in the short term is that the 2008 inflation rate forecast was left at 2.0%, coupled with the fact that Fed Funds Futures are pricing in a rate hike in Q4 and that the market sees virtually no chance of a rate cut.Because of the weaker US productivity, higher wages, downwardly revised 2007 US GDP and overall market unease, there's a potential for some correction in equity markets which would also lead to some unwinding of carry trade positions. As EUR/JPY carry trades unwind, the dollar appreciates vs the Euro as it depreciates vs the Yen.

Euro/Usd support level holding so far

2007-06-06T11:09:00.000+08:00

by Angelo Airaghi [Guest Analyst]
6/4/2007
As the European economy maintains a strong momentum in most of its productive sectors, the European Central Bank is meeting this week in Frankfurt am Main (Germany). A decision on rates is a possibility that could help shake the European currency after the recent period of consolidation.

U.S. Growth Process Might Again Pick up.
The U.S. economy remains in good conditions, albeit moderating, as labor market and consumer confidence are balancing strong gasoline prices and the unstable housing market. The average monthly increase in employment slowed in the first six months of 2007, from the 189,000 average monthly gain seen in 2006 to the 133,000 pace in 2007, but overall the unemployment rate is still near the lowest level in more the five years. In May, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by a better than expected 157,000, above the 150,000 units previously forecasted, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.5%. The service sector (176,000 new positions) contributed to all the job growth in May. Income keeps on expanding as well, hourly earnings are up 3.8% in the past year and weekly earnings are targeting 4.1%, to testify an healthy labour market that should support consumer spending in the coming months.