Monday, February 9, 2009

EUR/USD: Currency in Play for Next 24 Hours



The currency in play for Monday of the upcoming week will be EUR/USD based on German Current Account and Trade Balance being released at 7:00GMT or 2:00AM EST. After a massive downtrend which has been in place since late last year, the pair seems oversold and entering the Range Trading Zone which we determine using Bollinger Bands. Since the beginning of the year, the pair formulated a downward slopping triangle, which proved to be effective numerous amount of times. The pair is on the verge of breaking the triangle upon moving past its first resistance which is at a psychological level of 1.3000. If the resistance of the upper line of the triangle is negated the next level of resistance will be 1.3180, which is a 78.6% retracement of December high and this year’s low. Nevertheless, the pair may establish another leg of downtrend if support is broken at 1.2705 which is a 2009 low for the pair.